Quantitative Risk Assessment— QRA

Identify, evaluate, and control process hazards with expert risk assessments, ensuring safe, reliable, and compliant industrial operations.

What is Quantitative Risk Assessment?

Definition of QRA

Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) is a systematic method used to measure risk using numerical data. It estimates the probability and impact of potential events through mathematical and statistical analysis. By expressing risks in numbers, QRA enables organizations to make objective, data-driven decisions for safety and performance improvement.

Quantitative vs. Qualitative Risk Assessment

While qualitative risk assessment categorizes risks as high, medium, or low based on judgment, QRA uses data and models to assign numerical values to likelihood and consequence. Quantification removes subjectivity, offering more precise insights for planning and control.

Why Quantitative Risk Assessment Matters

Benefits of QRA

  • Enhances objectivity in decision-making
  • Helps prioritize critical risks
  • Supports compliance with safety and environmental regulations
  • Optimizes resources and cost management
  • Improves transparency and accountability in risk reporting

When QRA is Essential

QRA is vital when risks have significant safety, financial, or environmental implications. It is commonly applied in industries such as oil and gas, manufacturing, construction, energy, and infrastructure, where accurate risk evaluation is critical for compliance and operational continuity.

The Quantitative Risk Assessment Process

Hazard Identification & Scenario Development

Identify potential hazards and define credible scenarios that could lead to loss events.

Frequency/Probability Estimation

Use data, historical records, and models to estimate how often each scenario might occur.

Consequence Assessment

Quantify potential effects on people, assets, and the environment in measurable terms.

Risk Calculation & Interpretation

Combine probability and consequence to calculate overall risk using formulas and modeling tools. The results help prioritize mitigation actions based on measurable risk levels.

Industry Applications & Case Studies

Process Safety & Chemical Industry

Used to assess and manage risks related to equipment failure, chemical releases, and operational hazards.

Project Management & Financial Risk Quantification

Helps evaluate potential cost overruns, schedule delays, and investment risks to improve project reliability.

Cybersecurity & IT Risk Assessment

Quantifies the likelihood and financial impact of data breaches, system failures, and security incidents.

Best Practices & Common Pitfalls

Data Quality & Assumptions

Ensure data accuracy and validate all assumptions to maintain reliability and consistency in results.

Uncertainty & Sensitivity Analysis

Incorporate uncertainty and perform sensitivity analysis to identify which factors most influence outcomes.

Making Results Actionable

Translate analytical results into clear, actionable risk control strategies to guide decision-making and compliance.

How to Get Started with a Quantitative Risk Assessment

Step-by-Step Starter Checklist

  1. Identify hazards and define risk scenarios.
  2. Collect and validate relevant data.
  3. Estimate probabilities and consequences.
  4. Calculate and interpret quantified risk values.
  5. Develop and implement risk mitigation measures.

Engaging Stakeholders & Reporting Results

Engage multidisciplinary teams throughout the process. Present results clearly, linking risk metrics with business objectives and safety goals for effective communication.

What we offer

Our Services

Identify, evaluate, and control process hazards with expert risk assessments ensuring safe, reliable, and compliant industrial operations.

Ensures robust Process Safety Management systems to prevent major industrial incidents.

External Safety Audits

Independent evaluation of safety systems to ensure compliance and operational integrity.

Project HSE Review

Assesses Health, Safety & Environment controls at every project stage for safer execution.

Bow-Tie Analysis

Visual risk assessment method that maps hazards, causes, consequences, and controls.

COMAH

Supports compliance with Control of Major Accident Hazards regulations for high-risk sites.

Identifies combustible dust hazards and mitigates explosion risks in work environments.

Analyzes escape routes and rescue strategies to ensure safe evacuation during emergencies.

Emergency Systems Survivability Analysis (ESSA)

Evaluates whether critical systems can withstand emergency conditions and remain functional.

Maps fire and gas detector coverage to optimize safety system placement and performance.

Comprehensive site audit to identify safety gaps and enhance operational performance.

Fire & Explosion Risk Assessment (FERA)

Assesses potential fire and explosion scenarios to strengthen prevention and response plans.

Systematically evaluates failures and their impacts to improve reliability and safety.

Identifies workplace hazards and evaluates risks to establish effective control measures.

How it works

Industry Consultation

Project Scoping & Industry Brief

Service Selection

Site Visit & Inspection

Audit & Analysis

Report Submission & Discussion

Safety Consultant Company in India
AURA is a 100% Indian company, founded with a dream to create an aura of safety by delivering practical and cost-effective engineering solutions.

Frequently Ask Question

 A data-driven process that measures risk by calculating the probability and impact of potential events.

 QRA uses numerical data and models, while qualitative methods rely on descriptive ratings.

Hazard identification, frequency estimation, consequence analysis, risk calculation, and interpretation.

Monte Carlo simulation, Expected Monetary Value (EMV), Annualized Loss Expectancy (ALE), and decision trees.

When accurate, measurable, and objective risk evaluation is required for safety-critical or high-value operations.

By comparing quantified risk levels against acceptable thresholds to guide mitigation and decision-making.

When accurate, measurable, and objective risk evaluation is required for safety-critical or high-value operations.

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